wenn man sich den Integationsbericht des Rechnungshofs ansieht, kommt man zur Meinung es wäre gut, wenn sich wir integrieren

Integriere er sich ...



Oh Gott ...

null

Everybody is twittering,
no me
I'm only facebooking.

Apologies for this being in English, but this is a reaction to another post written in English --- the multiple translations necessary are too much for me;
So;
Edward Hugh writes a pro pos Japan's economic malaise that this is in part because of the low fertility rate this country has; ignoring his reasoning why and how this link works (by the way, I find his argument to be very cogent), his idea why some countries (i.e. Japan, Germany, Italy) have so low fertility rate is ... well ... omigod ...
Once again, this can be found here;
So, but what would be a good explanation?
Assumption:
People can choose whether to have children or not (by using contraceptives, being catholic priests, or gay or, presentably both)
Definition:
The amount of children born (in any particular period of time) is:
cb = uwp + wp
children born = unwanted preganacies + wanted preganancies
The potential amount is:
pcb = uwp + wp + ap
where ap ... avoided pregnancies.
now it should be obvious that an increase in cb has to mean a decrease in avoided pregnancies. That is so, because of medicine; modern medicine allows a lot more women than previously the be pregnant, and as decreased their and their children health care rise immensely. In other words, the problem is not biological fertility, it is not wanting to become pregnant.
That is to say: +d(cb) ---> +d(uwp)g; +(wp); -d(ap) (d as in delta, mathematical way of saying change)
Additional thought: Most of today's pregnancies are wanted (i.e. wp > uwp); that is to say planned, which is he magic word; planned; people are basing this decisions on their plans. On special plans: having a child (+ education) takes ... say twenty years, sometimes more. So people have to plan twenty years ahead, and they will become pregnant (the women, obviously) only if they can expect, with a reasonable degree of security, that they can ... let´s say sustain a child for twenty years.
Now for some economic developments:
--- The distribution of income has changed over the last twenty years; put simply the poor have gotten poorer, the rich richer, in other words a lot of people are not as well of a they used to be. (Better: A lot of peoples income has not risen in line with what they consider to be an acceptable standard of living.)
--- There is increased labour market flexibility. (It´s easier to fire you, more people (have to) change their jobs.)
It should be obvious that this is poison for the wp vs ap distribution.
Additionally their is ... our all time favourite: the conservative ideology: Women should stay home with their children, be a good housewife and mother. That is to say, they should not work. This idea is detrimental to the +d(cb) i.e. more births because
--- people - most of them - cannot as a three person household live of one wage earner.
--- women (at last some of them do want to make a carrier.
--- That is not helped by the absence of early child care facilities.
--- prolonged stays at home create difficulties at re entering the jobs market creating future insecurities and thereby another argument against having a child.
--- The possibility of divorce is another problem. Even so women get alimentation mostly this leads to a steep decline in their (and their ex husbands) social status. (Once more Three persons, one of them a wage earner is not a good combination.)
This are (by no means) the only, but nonetheless crucial problems.
And they sound entirely rational, don't they?

BBC NEWS | Africa | Zimbabwe PM pledges 'new chapter':

Zimbabwe's new Prime Minister, Morgan Tsvangirai, has vowed to stabilise the country's shattered economy and end political violence.

The former opposition leader addressed thousands of cheering supporters after being sworn-in under a power-sharing deal with President Robert Mugabe.

Mr Mugabe, who administered the oath to his long-standing rival, has promised to co-operate in the unity government.

Zimbabwe faces rampant inflation, a cholera epidemic and 90% unemployment.

And again:

1. rampant inflation
2. a cholera epidemic
3. 90% unemployment

Tja, der Standart informiert uns über die neuesten Entwicklunge in der kath. Kirche:

Was folgt darauf als autoritative Darstelllung der Ansicht der Kirche besprochen werden.

(Sie meinen das ERNST)


11. Februar 2009
15:42 MEZ
Bischof Fischer hält Homosexualität für heilbar
Wie "andere psychische Erkrankungen und Alkoholismus" - Unterstützt neuen Linzer Weihbischof Wagner

Bregenz - Der Feldkircher Bischof Elmar Fischer unterstützt den neuen Linzer Weihbischof Gerhard Maria Wagner in seiner Haltung, dass Homosexualität "heilbar" sei. Im Interview mit ORF Radio Vorarlberg verglich Fischer am Mittwoch Homosexualität mit anderen "psychischen Erkrankungen" wie Alkoholismus, die geheilt werden könnten. Ausgeschlossen aus der Kirche seine Homosexuelle aber ebenso wenig wie andere psychisch Kranke, betonte der Bischof.

"Wir sind froh, wer immer heilbar ist"

Fischer stützte sich in seiner Einschätzung auf Literatur und auf eigene Erfahrungen als Psychotherapeut. "Es gibt diese Literatur, die das sagt, und warum soll man das nicht auch annehmen. Wir sind froh, wer immer heilbar ist", so der Bischof, der seinerseits fragte: "Warum muss man diese Meinung haben: Homosexualität ist eine - wie soll ich sagen - alternative Sexualität?". Fischer hatte bereits 1996 als damaliger Generalvikar der Diözese Feldkirch mit Äußerungen über Homosexualität für Aufsehen gesorgt. Damals hatte er in einem Schreiben an alle katholischen Pfarrämter der Diözese unter anderem den Zusammenhang zwischen Homosexualität und Promiskuität betont.

Anderer Ansicht als Wagner zeigte sich Fischer in der Frage der weiblichen Ministranten. Dabei komme es auf die innere Haltung an, sagte Fischer. Diese könne auch bei Mädchen gegeben sein. Wagner selbst hat in seiner Pfarre in Windischgarsten (Bezirk Kirchdorf) keine weiblichen Ministranten, wofür es "verschiedenste Gründe" gebe, etwa den, dass in einem gewissen Alter "Mädchen und Buben einfach nichts miteinander zu tun" hätten.

Wagner nehme Aufgabe ernst

Dass man sich über Wagner aufrege, schon bevor dieser sein Amt als Weihbischof angetreten hat, kritisierte Fischer. Er kenne Wagner zwar nicht persönlich, dieser sei aber ein Priester, der seine Aufgabe offenbar ernst nehme, echte Gläubigkeit vermittle und dem gesellschaftlichen Werteverfall entgegenwirke. Rom sei bei der Ernennung von Bischöfen sehr sorgfältig. (APA)

Jaja, ein Italophiles Frühstück, und ein Cappuchino, oder zwei, und
Sie.
und mein neuer Laptop.
Nettes Ding, Sie findet das auc und ich finde das wirklich lustig.
Und ausserdem wurde ich von ihr gefacebooked.

Ok. Lots of people going insane. In the US. Since similar arguments are made in Europe, we call upon Bradford, as usual, to restore sanity.


null

Oh boy, ...
Since neithe Hungary, nor Spain, nor Ireland can devalue their currency, they have obviousley decided to

1. Adopt an austerity programm
2. Cutting their budet in the midsd of a recession
3. Cutting civil service wages.
4. IN THE MIDDLE OF A RECESSION

Why oh why do I have to live in this times? Why oh why is everyone suddenly acting so stupid. Precipitatin a return to sanity, everyone needs to read John Maynard Keynes The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, Book V Money-Wages and Prices, Chapter 19. Changes in Money-Wages.
Or die.
This is a desaster.
Keynes talks about the macroeconomic effet of wage cuts; they do depress to nobodisy suprise demand, an hence lead the economy in ever deeper crisis. Furthermore Keynes tries (and obviously has not succeded) to explain, that cutting wage will not have the desired effect. The desired effect is to increase the amount of money in the economy (putting it roughly) by inducing deflation. (If the same amount of money is around, and everything is cheaper the consequence will be that there is more monyey - relative to what was ther before. The nominal amount of money stays the same, everything is cheaper and - bingo - there is more money.

Now the problem is that outside a totalitarian system a wage cut of this magnitue is at the very best difficult to achive. Everybodys wage have to go down. (Try to explain that to frustrated Pensionsts, Labor Unions etc. because as Keynes says there is no justice in all of this.

And the consequences of this will be dire. People will stop spending, and will stop spending now and very thoroughly. Really. And as a consequence the demand for goods will go down, and therfore industrial production will go down, and the recession will deepen and deepen. And deepen and deepen.

So we need to read Keynes; what he suggests is instead to increase gouverment spending and increase the supply of money. Increasing he supply for money will have the same effect as decreasing the waes. And will be much more easily to engineer. And faster. After all the central bank will just print mor money.

That is it.

We need to read Keynes.

You need to read Keynes.

NOW